Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000143 0.000159 0.000177 0.000198 0.000221 0.000245 0.000274
2025-08-10 0.000115 0.000137 0.000162 0.000193 0.000229 0.000270 0.000322
2025-08-17 0.000098 0.000123 0.000153 0.000192 0.000241 0.000300 0.000377
2025-08-24 0.000084 0.000110 0.000144 0.000189 0.000248 0.000323 0.000425
2025-08-31 0.000073 0.000101 0.000137 0.000187 0.000257 0.000348 0.000478
2025-09-07 0.000065 0.000093 0.000131 0.000187 0.000266 0.000375 0.000535
2025-09-14 0.000058 0.000086 0.000126 0.000185 0.000273 0.000398 0.000588
2025-09-21 0.000053 0.000082 0.000123 0.000187 0.000285 0.000429 0.000656
2025-09-28 0.000049 0.000077 0.000120 0.000188 0.000296 0.000457 0.000721
2025-10-05 0.000044 0.000072 0.000116 0.000187 0.000302 0.000480 0.000779
2025-10-12 0.000042 0.000070 0.000115 0.000191 0.000317 0.000518 0.000862
2025-10-19 0.000039 0.000067 0.000112 0.000191 0.000326 0.000545 0.000931
2025-10-26 0.000036 0.000063 0.000109 0.000191 0.000334 0.000573 0.001006
2025-11-02 0.000033 0.000060 0.000105 0.000189 0.000339 0.000596 0.001073
2025-11-09 0.000031 0.000057 0.000103 0.000190 0.000350 0.000630 0.001162
2025-11-16 0.000028 0.000054 0.000100 0.000188 0.000353 0.000651 0.001231
2025-11-23 0.000026 0.000051 0.000097 0.000187 0.000360 0.000678 0.001312
2025-11-30 0.000024 0.000049 0.000095 0.000187 0.000368 0.000709 0.001401
2025-12-07 0.000023 0.000046 0.000092 0.000185 0.000373 0.000733 0.001480
2025-12-14 0.000022 0.000045 0.000091 0.000188 0.000385 0.000773 0.001595
2025-12-21 0.000020 0.000044 0.000090 0.000189 0.000395 0.000809 0.001703
2025-12-28 0.000019 0.000042 0.000087 0.000187 0.000400 0.000835 0.001793
2026-01-04 0.000018 0.000041 0.000088 0.000191 0.000417 0.000886 0.001941